主講人：陸方文 教授 人民大學經(jīng)濟學院
主持人：李輝文 教授 上海對外經(jīng)貿(mào)大學國際經(jīng)貿(mào)學院
時間：2021年05月17日周一下午，14:00-16:00
地點：上海對外經(jīng)貿(mào)大學信息樓507會議室
主辦：上海對外經(jīng)貿(mào)大學國際經(jīng)濟與貿(mào)易系
主講人簡介：
陸方文，于2011年畢業(yè)于美國加州伯克利大學經(jīng)濟學博士，現(xiàn)任中國人民大學經(jīng)濟學院教授，2018年度教育部青年長江學者和國家自科基金優(yōu)秀青年項目獲得者。她擅長運用隨機實驗方法探討行為經(jīng)濟學和發(fā)展經(jīng)濟學領域的熱點難點問題，其研究成果發(fā)表在經(jīng)濟學、管理學和醫(yī)學的頂尖學術(shù)期刊，其中包括《Journal of Development Economics》、《Journal of Labor Economics》、《Journal of Public Economics》 (2)、《Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization》、《Management Science》、《British Medical Journal》、《經(jīng)濟研究》等，并出版專著《隨機實地實驗：理論、方法和在中國的運用》。她的論文榮獲“教育部第五屆全國教育科學研究優(yōu)秀成果獎”和“北京市第十四屆哲學社會科學優(yōu)秀成果獎”，并且被杰弗里·佩羅夫撰寫的 《Microeconomics》和《Microeconomics: Theory and Applications with Calculus》等國際經(jīng)典教科書引用。
報告摘要
more than one third of students prefer not to receive midterm test scores, which is associated with both the self-predicted midterm score and true score. Second, the prediction on midterm test score shows overconfidence on average while that on ranking show some underconfidence. Third, after receiving their test scores, the ex-ante overconfident students shift their base for ranking prediction from their predicted score to the actual score significant, while the under-confident students improve their prediction on the relative ranking. Forth, although the intervention shifts the predicted midterm ranking by 12 points among overconfident students, its impact on the prediction of the final exam score is only 4 points, which is not statistically significant. Last, among overconfident students, the intervention worsen their relative standing in the distribution of actual final exam scores. The deteriorating effect concentrates among the part of overconfident students who prefer to receive information on midterm test score.